polymarket Resolves May 15, 2026
2026 年 5 月 15 日前美国出现确诊的汉坦病毒病例？
Will at least one confirmed case of hantavirus linked to the MV Hondius cluster be reported in the United States by 23:59 UTC on May 15, 2026? Resolved YES on May 15, 2026 after the CDC confirmed the first US case linked to the MV Hondius cluster.
Probability history
| Date | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | 100% | $1.3M |
| May 7, 2026 | 23% | $187k |
| May 6, 2026 | 15% | $140k |
| May 5, 2026 | 40% | $80k |
⚠ Prediction markets reflect crowd-sourced beliefs and may diverge from official assessments. OutbreakWatch is not affiliated with polymarket. Probabilities are not investment advice.