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polymarket Resolves May 15, 2026

Bestätigter Hantavirus-Fall in den USA bis 15. Mai 2026?

Will at least one confirmed case of hantavirus linked to the MV Hondius cluster be reported in the United States by 23:59 UTC on May 15, 2026? Resolved YES on May 15, 2026 after the CDC confirmed the first US case linked to the MV Hondius cluster.

YES probability
100%
$1.3M traded · last update May 16, 2026
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Probability history

DateYESVolume
May 15, 2026 100% $1.3M
May 7, 2026 23% $187k
May 6, 2026 15% $140k
May 5, 2026 40% $80k
⚠ Prediction markets reflect crowd-sourced beliefs and may diverge from official assessments. OutbreakWatch is not affiliated with polymarket. Probabilities are not investment advice.