polymarket Resolves May 15, 2026
Caso confermato di hantavirus negli Stati Uniti entro il 15 maggio 2026?
Will at least one confirmed case of hantavirus linked to the MV Hondius cluster be reported in the United States by 23:59 UTC on May 15, 2026? Resolved YES on May 15, 2026 after the CDC confirmed the first US case linked to the MV Hondius cluster.
Probability history
| Date | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | 100% | $1.3M |
| May 7, 2026 | 23% | $187k |
| May 6, 2026 | 15% | $140k |
| May 5, 2026 | 40% | $80k |
⚠ Prediction markets reflect crowd-sourced beliefs and may diverge from official assessments. OutbreakWatch is not affiliated with polymarket. Probabilities are not investment advice.