polymarket ✓ Resolved YES · May 15, 2026
Confirmed case of hantavirus in US by May 15, 2026?
Will at least one confirmed case of hantavirus linked to the MV Hondius cluster be reported in the United States by 23:59 UTC on May 15, 2026? Resolved YES on May 15, 2026 after the CDC confirmed the first US case linked to the MV Hondius cluster.
Probability history
| Date | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | 100% | $1.3M |
| May 7, 2026 | 23% | $187k |
| May 6, 2026 | 15% | $140k |
| May 5, 2026 | 40% | $80k |
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