polymarket Resolves May 16, 2026

Confirmed case of hantavirus in US by May 15, 2026?

Name: Confirmed case of hantavirus in US by May 15, 2026?
Creator: OutbreakWatch
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Will at least one confirmed case of hantavirus linked to the MV Hondius cluster be reported in the United States by 23:59 UTC on May 15, 2026?

YES probability

23%

$187k traded · last update May 7, 2026

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Probability history

Date	YES	Volume
May 7, 2026	23%	$187k
May 6, 2026	15%	$140k
May 5, 2026	40%	$80k

⚠ Prediction markets reflect crowd-sourced beliefs and may diverge from official assessments. OutbreakWatch is not affiliated with polymarket. Probabilities are not investment advice.